Question. ''How do changing interest rates affect bonds and stocks and why does the threat of a rate increase slow the market?''
Answer. A rise in interest rates is, in general, bad news for stocks. Interest rates often rise when investors grow concerned that inflation will rise. Why? Because higher inflation reduces the value of a company's future earnings and stock prices are often based on companies' projected future earnings.
Rising interest rates are also bad news for stocks for a different reason: As rates rise, the yield on bonds becomes more attractive.
Also companies' borrowing costs rise when interest rates climb.
EXAMPLE: If bonds yield only 4%, investors will likely seek out stocks, figuring they can earn at least 8-15% if invested in the market. But if interest rates rise to 8%, investors realize they can garner nearly the same upside while minimizing risk. That 8% bond yield is virtually guaranteed; stocks come with no such promise.
Bond prices move in the opposite direction of their yield. So if interest rates are rising, bond prices will drop.
Much of the recent strength in the stock markets is attributable to an attractive interest rate. As inflation has receded, investors have poured money out of 'safe' bonds into stocks.
According to a study, Americans keep more than $1 trillion in low-interest rate savings accounts, often for convenience and a desire for easy access to their cash.
1. Bonds are fancy IOUs
Recent Comments